Thursday, October 30, 2008

Sprint Cup: The Chase - Race 8: For the Competition Finding Enough Rattlesnakes and Texas Steer Might Not Be Enough to Stop Johnson




RACE: Dickies 500
PLACE: Texas Motor Speedway
DATE: Sunday, November 2, 2008
TIME: 3:00 pm. EST
WEATHER: 82F

Sure there’s still a Chase going on. Jimmie Johnson hasn’t locked up anything and some drivers haven’t been mathematically eliminated. Carl Edwards, Greg Biffle and Jeff Burton are still in the running. However, Edwards is behind by 183 points, Biffle by 185, and Burton by 218. That means Edwards needs to gain 61 points a race, Biffle – 62 points, and Burton – 73 points to pull even. As such, if Edwards or Biffle were to win all three races, Johnson would need to have an average finish of around 14th or lower depending on laps led to pull even. Translation, all Jimmie Johnson needs to do is average a top 10 finish for three races, he’s got his championship.

Johnson’s a pretty sharp driver at keeping out of trouble on the race track and Hendricks equipment doesn’t usually blow up, so from any perspective, it’s hard to imagine Johnson could have enough bad luck not to win the title. Only a wreck or serious mechanical failure that would throw him to a finish close to the bottom could really open things up for the other contenders, but considering how quickly Kyle Busch fell from the top to the bottom and how dominant he had been, anything is possible.

Meanwhile, cars will run qualifying laps for starting position as there is virtually no chance for rain this weekend. This might help brighten fortunes for some of the teams near the bottom securing better positions for where they’ll be locked in by owner’s poins entering next year.

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